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208应用基础与工程科学学报　　　　　　　　　　　　　　Vol.18LandUseChangeSimulationontheEdgeofMetropolis

———ACaseStudyofChangpingDistrictinBeijing

MENGJijun,　YANFen,　ZHAOChunhong

(KeyLaboratoryofEarthSurfaceProcesses,MinistryofEducation,CollegeofUrbanandEnvironmentalSciences,PekingUniversity,Beijing100871,China)

Abstract

Inrecentyears,researchonsimulatingmodelforlandusechangehashottopic.ThelandusechangeontheedgeofmetropolisistheofLUCCresearchforitsintenseandrepresentativechange.Sanalysis,landusedatawithinChangpingweutilizedCLUE2Smodel,ansmodelingframework,tosimulatethefro2orientationlandusepolicy.Thefollowing(1)TheCLUE2Smodelwasappropriatetosimulateandpredictlanduseconversioninareaofmediumandsmallscale,anditwasmoresuitableforthesimulationandpredictionofforestandconstructionrelativelyconcentratedareasthantheareascatteredlydistributedwithgarden,agriculturalandurbangreenland.(2)UndertheMarkovscenario,theexpansionofconstructionlandismostobvious;underthefoodsafetyscenario,theagriculturallandwithhighqualityontheplainsinfrontofmountainwillnotbeconvertedintoconstructionland;andunderthe …… 此处隐藏：3459字，全部文档内容请下载后查看。喜欢就下载吧 ……