国际气候变化研究新进展(3)

==== !"#$%&'()* !"#$ !"#$%&'#$()*+,-./ !"#$%&'() !"#$%& !"#$%&'()*+,-./012 !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123 !"

!

[1]

Houghton J T, Ding Y H, Griggs D J, et al. Climate Change 2001: TheScientific Basis [M]. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2001.[2]

Jones P D, Moberg A. Hemispheric and large-scale surface airtemperature variations: An extensive revision and update to 2001 [J]. J.Climate, 2003, 16: 206-223.[3]

Brohan P, Kennedy J J, Harris I, et al. Uncertainty estimates in regionaland global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850 [J].J. Geophys. Res, 2006: accepted.[4]

Smith T M,Reynolds R W. A global merged land and sea surfacetemperature reconstruction based on historical observations (1880-1997)[J]. J. Climate, 2005, 18: 2021-2036.[5]

Smith T M, Thomas C P, Jay H L, et al. New surface temperature analysesfor climate monitoring [J]. Geophys. Res. Lett. , 2005, 32: L14712, doi:10.1029/2005GL023402.[6]

Hansen J, Ruedy R, Sato M, et al. A closer look at United States andglobal surface temperature change [J]. J. Geophys. Res., 2001, 106:23947-23963.[7]

Jones P D, Groisman P Y, Coughlan M, et al. Assessment of urbanizationeffects in time series of surface air temperature over land [J]. Nature,1990, 347: 169-172.[8]

Parker D E. Large-scale warming is not urban [J]. Nature, 2004, 432:

[9]

290-290.

Peterson T C, Owen T W. Urban heat island assessment: Metadata areimportant [J]. J. Climate, 2005, 18: 2637-2646.

[10]Ramaswamy V, Boucher O, Haigh J D , et al. Radiative forcing of climate

change [M]// Houghton J T, Ding Y H, Griggs D J, et al.Climate Change2001: The Scientific Basis. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press,349-416.

[11]Keeling C D, Whorf T P. Atmospheric CO2 records from sites in the SIO

air sampling network [M]//Trends: A Compendium of Data on GlobalChange. Oak Ridge, Tenn, USA: Carbon Dioxide Information AnalysisCenter, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Department of Energy, 2005.http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/co2/sio-keel-flask/ sio-keel-flask.html[12]Dlugokencky E J, Myers R C, Lang P M, et al. Conversion of NOAA

CMDL atmospheric dry air CH4 mole fractions to a gravimetricallyprepared standard scale [J]. J. Geophys. Res., 2005, 110: D18306,doi:10.1029/2005JD006035.

[13]Takemura T, Nozawa T, Emori S, et al. Simulation of climate response

to aerosol direct and indirect effects with aerosol transport-radiationmodel[J]. J. Geophys. Res., 2005, 110: D02202, doi:10.1029/2004JD005029.

[14]Trenberth K E, Caron J M, Stepaniak D P, et al. The evolution of ENSO

and global atmospheric temperatures [J]. J. Geophys. Res., 2002, 107(4066), doi:10.1029/2000JD000298.

[15]Trenberth K E, Stepaniak D P, Caron J M. Interannual variations in the

atmospheric heat budget [J]. J. Geophys. Res., 2002, 107(4066),doi:10.1029/2000JD000297.

[16]Emanual K. Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past

30 years [J]. Nature, 2005, 436: 686-688.

[17]Webster P J, Holland G J, Curry J A, et al. Changes in tropical cyclone

number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment [J]. Science,2005, 309: 1844-1846.

[18]Hoyos C D, Agudelo P A, Webster P J, et al. Deconvolution of the factors

contributing to the increase in global hurricane intensity [J]. Science,2006, 312: 94-97.

[19]Cohen S, Liepert B, Stanhill G. Global dimming comes of age [J]. EOS,

Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 2004, 85: 362.

[20]Wild M, Ohmura A, Gilgen H, et al. On the consistency of trends in

radiation and temperature records and implications for the globalhydrological cycle [J]. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2004, 31: L11201,

简要回顾了国际上气候变化科学研究在最近所取得的进展,主要包括近百年温度和降水的变化,大气成分和辐射强迫的变化,热带和中高纬度气候变化,台风和气候变化,全球变暗和反照率,气候模式与气候变化的预估,气候突变和极端事件等方面。通过回顾可以看到,气候变化科学已取得

Q !W !"#$%&'(167

doi:10.1029/2003GL019188.

[21]Wild M A, Gilgen H, Roesch A , et al. From dimming to brightening:

Decadal changes in solar radiation at Earth’s surface [J]. Science, 2005,308: 847-850.

[22]Rossow W B, Duenas E N. The International Satellite Cloud Climatology

Project (ISCCP) web site: An online resource for research [J]. Bull. Amer.Meteor. Soc., 2004, 85: doi:10.1175/BAMS-85-2-167.

[23]Pinker R T, Zhang B, Dutton E G. Do satellites detect trends in surface

solar radiation? [J]. Science, 2005, 308: 850-854.

[24]Wielicki B A, Wong T M, Allan R P, et al. Evidence for large decadal

variability in the tropical mean radiative energy budget [J]. Science, 2002,295: 841-844.

[25]Trepte S, Winkler P. Reconstruction of erythrmal UV irradiance and dose

at Hohenpeissenberg (1968-2001) considering trends of total ozone,cloudiness and turbidity [J]. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 2004, 77: 159-171,doi:10.1007/s00704-004-00340-y.

[26]Philipona R, DurrB. Radiative forcing-measured at Earth’s surface-

Academies Press, 2003: 1-152.

[33]Zhang M. Cloud-climate feedback: how much do we know? [M]//

Observation, Theory and Modeling of Atmospheric Variability. RiverEdge, NJ: World Scientific Co. Pte. Ltd., 2004: 161-183.

[34]Stephens G L. Cloud feedbacks in the climate system: a critical review

[J]. J. Climate, 2005, 18: 237-273.

[35]Bony S, Colman R, Kattsov V, et al. How well do we understand climate

change feedback processes? [J]. J. Climate, 2006: in press.

[36]Colman R A. A comparison of climate feedbacks in general circulation

models [J]. Climate Dyn., 2003, 20: 865-873.

[37]Soden B J, Held I M. An assessment of climate feedbacks in coupled

ocean-atmosphere models …… 此处隐藏：5484字，全部文档内容请下载后查看。喜欢就下载吧 ……