欧盟征收碳关税对我国出口贸易影响研究(5)

本文从碳关税壁垒的理论概述出发，采用逻辑分析的方法，分析碳关税产生的背景、发展趋势、定义和特点，进一步研究碳关税的经济效应；接着分析我国纺织品服装的发展现状和特点，进而分析发达国家对纺织品服装征收碳关税的可能性；然后在国际贸易理论分析框架的基础上，融进碳关税的影响因素，构建一个局部均衡的碳关税模型，建立一个两国局部均衡模型，来分析发达国家征收碳关税对我国纺织品服装出口的影响；最后从宏观和微观两个层面提出了纺织品服装出口突破碳关税壁垒的相关策略。

关键词：碳关税，纺织品服装出口，影响，对策

华北电力大学本科毕业设计（论文）

ABSTRACT

Textile and clothing industry is China’s traditional advantage industry, which has been China’s major export. But in recent years, severe environmental pollution, financial crisis of developed countries and international trade protection make it become a trend to impose carbon tariff on countries that haven’t promised reducing co2 emission. For example, European Union has imposed carbon tariff on aircraft, while America has legislated that she has power to levy on products coming from countries that haven’t promised reducing co2 emission. As a result, it has been urgent for China to realize the impact of carbon tariff on China’s textile and clothing industry as soon as possible and take appropriate measures to effectively across the textile and garment industry.

This article starts from overview of carbon tariff barrier theory, and analyses its background, development trend, concepts, features and economics effects through logic analysis method; Then status and features of China’s textile and clothing industry and the possibility of the developed countries which levy on developing countries’ products are analyzed; In addition based on international trade theory, the article studies the impact of carbon tariff on China’s textile and clothing export by establishing a part balanced model of carbon tariff. Finally, relative strategies of settling carbon tariff from a macro and micro levels are made.

KEY WORDS: Carbon Tariff, Textile and Clothing Export, Impact, Strategy

目 录

摘 要 ......................................................... I ABSTRACT .................................................... III

第1章 绪论 ...................................................... 1

1.1 选题背景及意义 ........................................................ 1

1.2 国内外研究现状 ........................................................ 1

1.3 论文主要研究内容及预期目标 ............................................ 2

第2章 碳关税的理论概述 .......................................... 3

2.1 碳关税概念及提出背景 .................................................. 3

2.2 碳关税的征收方式 ...................................................... 4

2.3 碳排放量的计算方法 .................................................... 4

第3章 我国纺织服装业发展现状及特点 .............................. 5

3.1 我国纺织品服装出口的数量 .............................................. 5

3.2 我国纺织品服装主要出口市场 ............................................ 6

3.3 我国纺织服装业的碳排放特点 ............................................ 6

第4章 碳关税对我国纺织品服装出口影响的理论分析 .................. 9

4.1 模型构建 .............................................................. 9

4.1.1 基本假定 .......................................................... 9

4.1.2 决策行为原则 ...................................................... 9

4.2 理论模型的分析 ....................................................... 10

4.2.1 碳关税对纺织品服装世界市场价格的影响 ............................. 10

4.2.2 碳关税对征收碳关税的发达经济体内纺织品服装的产量的影响 ........... 10

4.2.3 发达经济体国内碳税变动对纺织品服装的世界市场价格的影响 ........... 11

4.2.4 发达经济体征收碳税对国内外纺织品服装生产的影响 ................... 11

4.3 结论 ................................................................. 11

第5章 碳关税对我国纺织品服装出口影响的实证分析 ................. 13

5.1 分析方法的选取及理由 ................................................. 13

5.2 变量选取与数据来源 ................................................... 13

5.3 碳关税税额的计算 ..................................................... 13

5.4 变量的平稳性检验 ..................................................... 15

5.5 滞后阶数的确定 ....................................................... 16

5.6 协整及格兰杰（Granger）因果检验 ...................................... 17

5.6.1 协整检验 ......................................................... 17

5.6.2 格兰杰（Granger）因果检验 ........................................ 17

5.7 脉冲响应函数分析 ..................................................... 18

5.8 结论 ................................................................. 18

第6章 我国纺织品服装出口应对碳关税壁垒的策略 ................... 21

6.1 宏观层面——政策环境的支持 ........................................... 21 …… 此处隐藏：2254字，全部文档内容请下载后查看。喜欢就下载吧 ……